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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Yankees vs Brewers |
Yankees -125 at circa |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| Both teams are off to excellent starts. I'm not sold on the Brewers, though, and I'm especially not sold on Joe Ross. He has a 4.05 ERA. Milwaukee is 1-3 in his starts. Yankees starter Carlos Rodon, on the other, is bouncing back nicely from last season. He has given up two runs or fewer in four of his five starts. Rodon has a 2.70 ERA. He hasn't surrendered a home run in his last three starts. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 27, 2024 Rays vs White Sox |
Rays -1½ -135 at Mirage |
Lost $135.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
| Give me a reason, any reason, to fade the 4-22 White Sox. OK, I have one. The Rays just were embarrassed, 9-4, by the White Sox on Friday night. The White Sox haven't won two in a row all season. They are the worst offensive team in baseball by far ranking last in various major categories, including runs, batting average and homers. I don't see Tampa Bay starter Aaron Civale having too much trouble handling such a weak lineup. The Rays should do plenty of damage against rookie White Sox starter Jonathan Cannon, who has a 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 27, 2024 Cavs vs Magic |
Magic -130 at YouWager |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| The Magic are a young, inexperienced playoff team that desperately needed a confidence boost after losing the first two games of the series to Cleveland on the road. The Magic got that this past Thursday when they came home and buried the Cavaliers, 121-83. I see the Magic riding that confidence and swagger rewarding their home crowd with another victory. The Magic gave up fewer points per game than the Cavaliers during the regular season, ranking fourth. Orlando's offense has improved during each game of the series. The key, though, was the Magic's domination on the boards. Orlando outrebounded the Cavaliers, 51-32, in the last game. | ||
| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 28, 2024 Diamondbacks vs Mariners |
UNDER 7 -115 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Diamondbacks have scored a meager one run in each of their last three games. Now they are facing the pitcher who I believe is the most underrated in baseball - Logan Gilbert. He has a 1.87 ERA and 0.80 WHIP. I don't see Arizona doing much against Gilbert especially on the road in Seattle's tough pitching park. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 28, 2024 Clippers vs Mavs |
Clippers +6 -108 at Ace |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm taking the Clippers in this point range knowing Kawhi Leonard isn't going to be 100 percent - and that's if he even plays. He's questionable due to knee soreness. But I want the better defensive team, which are the Clippers, and this many points in what shapes up as an intense, defensive-focused matchup. The first three games of the series all went Under. Now we have the lowest total of the four games. LA has held Dallas to an average of 98 points during the first three games. Down 2-1 in the series, the Clippers will be at their most intense. It's not that they're lacking star power with James Harden, Paul George and a combative Russell Westbrook. The problem for the Clippers is cold-shooting. They are 18-for-54 from 3-point range, which is 25 percent. The Clippers made 38 percent of their 3-pointers during the regular season. The Mavericks' defense is below average, ranking 20th in points allowed and 18th in 3-point defense. The Clippers have a top-10 defense. I'm not counting on him being out, but Luka Doncic is questionable because of a sore knee. It would be an unexpected bonus if he didn't play. Tim Hardaway is doubtful with an ankle sprain. He's the Mavericks' third-leading scorer. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |
